Dinamo TbilisivsSamgurali

Dinamo Tbilisi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Samgurali are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Samgurali hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (42.4 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Samgurali holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.