GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 3/13/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tbilisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Dinamo Tbilisi are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Samgurali are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tbilisi hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dinamo Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tbilisi

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Dinamo Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo TbilisiWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SamguraliWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
55.0Attack45.0
63.3Defence45.0
56.7Form46.7
59.5Power47.8
2.01xG0.88
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