GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 8/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tbilisi II · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Tbilisi II 1-1 Lokomotivi Tbilisi

Original prediction

Dinamo Tbilisi II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9247.0%50.8%3.8 pts
Draw3.6624.7%24.4%-0.3 pts
Away3.1928.4%24.9%-3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tbilisi II

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Dinamo Tbilisi II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo Tbilisi IIWWWLW

GF 17 · GA 15 · avg 3.40/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Lokomotivi TbilisiWDWLD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo Tbilisi IILokomotivi Tbilisi
55.6Attack37.0
53.7Defence59.3
50.0Form42.6
54.2Power47.8
1.49xG0.93
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