Dinamo Stavropolvs
Nizhny Novgorod
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Stavropol · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Stavropol 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod
Original prediction
Dinamo Stavropol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.38 | 10.9% | 45.4% | 34.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.95 | 15.4% | 21.3% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 1.24 | 73.7% | 33.3% | -40.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
34.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Stavropol
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Dinamo Stavropol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60