Dinamo Stavropolvs
Irtysh Omsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 10/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Stavropol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Stavropol 2-1 Irtysh Omsk
Original prediction
Dinamo Stavropol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 October 2026 at 10:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.5% | 54.3% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.0% | 23.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.5% | 22.3% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Stavropol
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Dinamo Stavropol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20