Dinamo Stavropolvs
Astrakhan
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Stavropol · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Stavropol 1-0 Astrakhan
Original prediction
Dinamo Stavropol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.2% | 43.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.6% | 27.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.2% | 28.4% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Stavropol
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Dinamo Stavropol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60