GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Stavropol · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dinamo Stavropol are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Astrakhan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Stavropol hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Cup, while Dinamo Stavropol holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Stavropol

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

13.1%

Dinamo Stavropol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo StavropolWWDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AstrakhanWDLWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo StavropolAstrakhan
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.62xG1.03
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