Dinamo St. Petersburgvs
Dinamo Vologda
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 8/27/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo St. Petersburg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo St. Petersburg 1-1 Dinamo Vologda
Original prediction
Dinamo St. Petersburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.6% | 43.2% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 26.7% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 18.6% | 30.1% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo St. Petersburg
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Dinamo St. Petersburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80