Dinamo Samarqandvs
Qizilqum
COMPLETEDUzbekistan · Super League · 9/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Samarqand · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Samarqand 1-0 Qizilqum
Original prediction
Dinamo Samarqand
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.5% | 49.0% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.6% | 26.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.79 | 19.0% | 24.5% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Samarqand
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Dinamo Samarqand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80