GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 8/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pakhtakor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dinamo Samarqand are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pakhtakor are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pakhtakor hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Super League, while Pakhtakor holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pakhtakor

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

11.6%

Pakhtakor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo SamarqandLDWWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PakhtakorWDDWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo SamarqandPakhtakor
52.1Attack58.3
43.8Defence66.7
43.8Form72.9
49.1Power68.4
1.05xG1.91
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