GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 3/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nasaf · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dinamo Samarqand are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nasaf are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nasaf hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Super League, while Nasaf holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nasaf

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Nasaf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo SamarqandWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
NasafWWWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dinamo SamarqandNasaf
52.9Attack39.6
43.1Defence70.8
43.1Form52.1
49.0Power56.6
0.97xG1.26
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