GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 4/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dinamo Samarqand are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Super League, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo SamarqandWLLDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LokomotivDLLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dinamo SamarqandLokomotiv
52.9Attack50.0
43.1Defence54.2
43.1Form52.1
49.0Power54.1
1.53xG1.58
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