Dinamo Samarqandvs
Buxoro
COMPLETEDUzbekistan · Super League · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Samarqand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Samarqand 1-2 Buxoro
Original prediction
Dinamo Samarqand
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.8% | 39.9% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.5% | 24.0% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 23.7% | 36.1% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Samarqand
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Dinamo Samarqand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40