GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Krasnodar U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Moskva U19 2-2 Krasnodar U19

Original prediction

Krasnodar U19

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2727.6%21.3%-6.3 pts
Draw3.6624.7%18.3%-6.4 pts
Away1.8947.7%60.4%12.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–38%
  2. 2.1–27%
  3. 3.1–47%

Predicted outcome

Krasnodar U19

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

60.4%

Krasnodar U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo Moskva U19DLLLW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Krasnodar U19WLWWD

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo Moskva U19Krasnodar U19
53.8Attack100.0
34.6Defence47.4
38.5Form71.8
43.2Power69.7
1.72xG3.45
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