GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 8/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akademiya Konoplev U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Moskva U19 1-2 Akademiya Konoplev U20

Original prediction

Akademiya Konoplev U20

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1642.0%36.5%-5.5 pts
Draw3.5225.7%24.7%-1.0 pts
Away2.8132.3%38.8%6.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–28%
  2. 2.1–27%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Akademiya Konoplev U20

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Akademiya Konoplev U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo Moskva U19WLLLW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Akademiya Konoplev U20WWLDW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo Moskva U19Akademiya Konoplev U20
53.3Attack68.3
40.0Defence40.0
43.3Form53.3
46.0Power54.2
2.06xG2.35
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