GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zenit 2 · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (12%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Moskva II 0-3 Zenit 2

Original prediction

Zenit 2

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home7.5511.9%10.4%-1.6 pts
Draw4.4020.5%16.0%-4.5 pts
Away1.3367.6%73.6%6.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–213%
  2. 2.0–312%
  3. 3.0–49%

Predicted outcome

Zenit 2

Probability

73.6%

Model confidence

73.6%

Zenit 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo Moskva IILDWLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Zenit 2WDDWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo Moskva IIZenit 2
33.3Attack95.2
19.0Defence81.0
33.3Form81.0
31.8Power82.5
0.68xG2.97
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