GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torpedo Miass · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Moskva II 2-2 Torpedo Miass

Original prediction

Torpedo Miass

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home8.3310.8%8.4%-2.4 pts
Draw5.5716.2%14.6%-1.6 pts
Away1.2473.0%77.0%4.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–214%
  2. 2.0–311%
  3. 3.0–110%

Predicted outcome

Torpedo Miass

Probability

77.0%

Model confidence

77.0%

Torpedo Miass has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo Moskva IILLLLL

GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Torpedo MiassWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo Moskva IITorpedo Miass
27.3Attack54.5
6.1Defence57.6
21.2Form54.5
22.6Power55.6
0.68xG2.54
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