Dinamo Moscowvs
Krasnodar
SCHEDULEDRussia · Cup · 8/19/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Moscow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dynamo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Krasnodar are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dynamo hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Cup, while Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Moscow
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
13.4%
Dinamo Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20