Dinamo Minskvs
Arsenal
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Minsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Arsenal, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Arsenal
Original prediction
Dinamo Minsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 75.7% | 81.5% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.66 | 16.1% | 13.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 11.09 | 8.2% | 5.4% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Projected Score
Dinamo Minsk 2–0 Arsenal
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Minsk
Probability
81.5%
Model confidence
81.5%
Dinamo Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Dinamo MinskWWWWL
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ArsenalLDLDD
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dinamo MinskArsenal
62.3Attack33.3
72.5Defence41.7
71.0Form31.9
69.2Power38.2
2.56xG0.46