Dinamo Makhachkalavs
Zenit
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 10/14/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Makhachkala 1-2 Zenit
Original prediction
Zenit
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.21 | 18.0% | 24.3% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 23.4% | 26.5% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 58.6% | 49.2% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Zenit
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Dinamo MakhachkalaLWLLW
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ZenitWWDWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo MakhachkalaZenit
22.2Attack44.4
33.3Defence100.0
11.1Form77.8
25.8Power74.7
0.92xG1.52