MakhachkalavsVardar Skopje

Makhachkala are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vardar Skopje are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vardar Skopje hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vardar Skopje holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.