GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Makhachkala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina Moskva

Original prediction

Dinamo Makhachkala

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8251.9%51.9%-0.1 pts
Draw3.6625.8%25.3%-0.6 pts
Away4.2522.2%22.9%0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Makhachkala

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Dinamo Makhachkala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo MakhachkalaLLLDW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rodina MoskvaLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Dinamo MakhachkalaRodina Moskva
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
83.3Power17.3
2.05xG0.93
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