Dinamo Makhachkalavs
CSKA Moscow
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/17/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Makhachkala · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA Moscow
Original prediction
Dinamo Makhachkala
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 30.6% | 40.2% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 28.4% | 28.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 41.0% | 31.7% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Makhachkala
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Dinamo Makhachkala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60