GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 10/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Makhachkala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Makhachkala 1-1 Akron

Original prediction

Dinamo Makhachkala

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0945.3%53.5%8.2 pts
Draw3.4627.4%21.6%-5.7 pts
Away3.4627.4%24.9%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Makhachkala

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Dinamo Makhachkala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo MakhachkalaLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AkronDLLWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dinamo MakhachkalaAkron
50.0Attack36.7
33.3Defence36.7
40.0Form26.7
42.7Power35.3
2.08xG1.30
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