GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/2/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Kirov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dinamo Kirov are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kompozit are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Kirov hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Cup, while Dinamo Kirov holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Kirov

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Dinamo Kirov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo KirovWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
KompozitWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Dinamo KirovKompozit
66.7Attack0.0
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power15.3
1.82xG0.95
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