GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Kirov · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Kirov 1-0 KAMAZ

Original prediction

Dinamo Kirov

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2228.4%37.3%8.9 pts
Draw3.3527.4%27.7%0.3 pts
Away2.0844.2%35.0%-9.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Kirov

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Dinamo Kirov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo KirovWWDLL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KAMAZLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo KirovKAMAZ
100.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence100.0
66.7Form66.7
68.0Power64.8
1.48xG1.19
View match centre →