GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 8/6/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Bryansk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Dinamo Bryansk are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLDW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Spartak Kostroma are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Bryansk hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while Dinamo Bryansk holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Bryansk

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Dinamo Bryansk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo BryanskLLDW

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 0/4
Spartak KostromaWDLLD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo BryanskSpartak Kostroma
25.0Attack24.1
58.3Defence53.7
58.3Form24.1
50.0Power36.7
1.12xG0.53
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