Dinamo Bryanskvs
Kaluga
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Bryansk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dinamo Bryansk 0-0 Kaluga, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Bryansk 1-4 Kaluga
Original prediction
Dinamo Bryansk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.5% | 47.1% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.4% | 30.9% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.2% | 22.0% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Projected Score
Dinamo Bryansk 0–0 Kaluga
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Bryansk
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Dinamo Bryansk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00