GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 3/18/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Brest · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Dinamo Brest are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Torpedo Zhodino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Brest hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Premier League, while Dinamo Brest holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Brest

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Dinamo Brest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo BrestDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Torpedo ZhodinoLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo BrestTorpedo Zhodino
56.9Attack47.9
70.6Defence70.8
58.8Form47.9
61.7Power55.5
1.09xG0.75
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