GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 4/9/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Brest · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Dinamo Brest are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Slavia Mozyr are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Brest hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Premier League, while Dinamo Brest holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Brest

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Dinamo Brest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo BrestLLDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Slavia MozyrLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dinamo BrestSlavia Mozyr
56.9Attack39.2
70.6Defence54.9
58.8Form41.2
61.7Power47.0
1.72xG0.60
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