Dinamo Brestvs
ML Vitebsk
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ML Vitebsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Brest 1-3 ML Vitebsk
Original prediction
ML Vitebsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.38 | 27.0% | 32.6% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.6% | 26.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 44.4% | 40.5% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
ML Vitebsk
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
ML Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40