Dinamo Brestvs
FC Dnepr Mogilev
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Brest · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dinamo Brest 2-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Brest 4-2 FC Dnepr Mogilev
Original prediction
Dinamo Brest
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.7% | 75.5% | 10.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.8% | 17.0% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 6.74 | 13.5% | 7.5% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Projected Score
Dinamo Brest 2–0 FC Dnepr Mogilev
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Brest
Probability
75.5%
Model confidence
75.5%
Dinamo Brest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80