GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 3/3/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Batumi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Dinamo Batumi are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Saburtalo are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Batumi hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dinamo Batumi holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Batumi

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Dinamo Batumi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo BatumiWWWWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SaburtaloDL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Dinamo BatumiSaburtalo
76.9Attack53.7
62.0Defence54.6
68.5Form47.2
68.4Power51.6
2.36xG1.06
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