GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/27/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Barnaul · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Barnaul 5-0 Irtysh Omsk

Original prediction

Dinamo Barnaul

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3239.2%40.5%1.3 pts
Draw3.3027.6%28.5%0.9 pts
Away2.7433.2%31.0%-2.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Barnaul

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Dinamo Barnaul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo BarnaulWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Irtysh OmskLDLWD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Dinamo BarnaulIrtysh Omsk
33.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form33.3
64.8Power45.3
1.39xG1.01
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