GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 9/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Barnaul · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Barnaul 0-2 Chelyabinsk

Original prediction

Dinamo Barnaul

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.9915.3%39.7%24.4 pts
Draw4.3721.0%25.4%4.4 pts
Away1.4463.7%34.9%-28.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

24.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Barnaul

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Dinamo Barnaul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo BarnaulDLWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ChelyabinskLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo BarnaulChelyabinsk
77.8Attack16.7
88.9Defence83.3
77.8Form50.0
78.5Power53.0
1.67xG0.89
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