Dimonavs
Maccabi Yavne
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/9/2026, 2:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dimona · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dimona 1-0 Maccabi Yavne
Original prediction
Dimona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.1% | 54.7% | 20.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 24.3% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.2% | 21.1% | -16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Dimona
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Dimona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DimonaLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi YavneWWDWL
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DimonaMaccabi Yavne
59.6Attack41.1
66.7Defence58.9
60.6Form38.9
62.9Power47.3
1.65xG0.71