Dimonavs
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/23/2026, 5:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dimona · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dimona 1-5 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Original prediction
Dimona
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.0% | 45.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 27.9% | 27.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 22.1% | 27.0% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Dimona
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Dimona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40