Dimonavs
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
COMPLETEDIsrael · State Cup · 10/26/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dimona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dimona 2-3 Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Original prediction
Dimona
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 07:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.1% | 39.9% | 14.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 24.9% | 26.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.0% | 34.1% | -15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Dimona
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Dimona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20