Dimonavs
Bnei Yehuda
COMPLETEDIsrael · State Cup · 10/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dimona · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dimona 0-0 Bnei Yehuda, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dimona 2-0 Bnei Yehuda
Original prediction
Dimona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 70.8% | 43.8% | -27.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.86 | 18.4% | 30.2% | 11.8 pts |
| Away | 8.30 | 10.8% | 26.0% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.0 pts
Projected Score
Dimona 0–0 Bnei Yehuda
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Dimona
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Dimona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DimonaWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bnei YehudaWWWDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DimonaBnei Yehuda
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.76xG0.64