GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast · 8/12/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Plovdiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dimitrovgrad are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Spartak Plovdiv are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Plovdiv hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Third League - Southeast, while Spartak Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Plovdiv

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Spartak Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DimitrovgradLL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Spartak PlovdivWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 3.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
DimitrovgradSpartak Plovdiv
0.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence0.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power72.0
1.48xG1.67
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