Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dila · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dila are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Samgurali are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dila hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the David Kipiani Cup, while Dila holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dila
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
11.8%
Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60