Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dila · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dila 2-1 Samgurali
Original prediction
Dila
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.2% | 38.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.0% | 27.0% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 32.8% | 34.9% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Dila
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DilaDWWLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SamguraliWLWWD
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DilaSamgurali
44.4Attack66.7
88.9Defence66.7
77.8Form58.3
72.8Power63.5
1.62xG1.53