Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dila · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dila are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Samgurali are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dila hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dila holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dila
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
11.6%
Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40