Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dila · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Dila are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gagra are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dila hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dila holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dila
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
12.2%
Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60