GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 2/25/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dila · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dila are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Dinamo Tbilisi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tbilisi hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dila holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dila

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DilaLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Dinamo TbilisiLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DilaDinamo Tbilisi
51.9Attack55.0
63.9Defence63.3
55.6Form56.7
57.4Power59.5
1.22xG1.09
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