Dijonvs
Saint Etienne
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 8/31/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saint Etienne · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dijon 2-3 Saint Etienne
Original prediction
Saint Etienne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.81 | 19.4% | 24.7% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.2% | 27.1% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 55.4% | 48.2% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Saint Etienne
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Saint Etienne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80