Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dijon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dijon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rouen are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dijon hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Ligue 3, while Dijon holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dijon
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Dijon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00