Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dijon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dijon 3-2 Laval
Original prediction
Dijon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.7% | 45.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 27.0% | 26.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 26.4% | 27.8% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Dijon
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Dijon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DijonDLDLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
LavalLLDWL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DijonLaval
33.3Attack33.3
53.3Defence33.3
20.0Form26.7
38.7Power34.5
1.44xG1.00