Digenis Morphouvs
APEA
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Digenis Morphou · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Digenis Morphou 0-1 APEA
Original prediction
Digenis Morphou
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.0% | 41.7% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.4% | 27.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 22.7% | 30.6% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Digenis Morphou
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Digenis Morphou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40