GGOALVIO

Morocco · Botola Pro · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Difaa EL Jadida · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Difaa EL Jadida 0-2 Wydad AC

Original prediction

Difaa EL Jadida

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.5625.5%36.8%11.3 pts
Draw3.1029.3%28.5%-0.8 pts
Away2.0045.3%34.7%-10.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–09%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Difaa EL Jadida

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Difaa EL Jadida has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Difaa EL JadidaLDLDD

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Wydad ACLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Difaa EL JadidaWydad AC
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.51xG1.16
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