Difaa EL Jadidavs
Moghreb Tetouan
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola Pro · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Difaa EL Jadida · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Difaa EL Jadida 4-1 Moghreb Tetouan
Original prediction
Difaa EL Jadida
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.0% | 42.3% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 27.5% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.6% | 30.3% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Difaa EL Jadida
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Difaa EL Jadida has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20