GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/3/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dietkirchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Dietkirchen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Waldgirmes hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Dietkirchen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dietkirchen

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Dietkirchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DietkirchenLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WaldgirmesLLWDD

GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
DietkirchenWaldgirmes
48.0Attack47.1
16.7Defence25.5
23.5Form39.2
32.0Power39.6
2.32xG2.29
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